4 Comments

Good work !!!

Can't help but think that "Confusion" might best describe the State of the Bond Market......

Lots of Smart People and still it's very unclear, which way the Economy and IRs, will go in

the next 6-12 months

Muddle Through....if I had to guess, but in this world you never know ???

Expand full comment

Muddle through, sounds like you read John Mauldin too!

Expand full comment
author

Folks muddling staying short benchmark retail continues to funnel $ into mm mutual funds so I’m trying to assess risks from both retail AND institutional investors having same duration call … not 💯 sure as to institutional bias (sees some interpretation of futures positions but without my Terminal only speculation…) .. have a great Jackson Hole week ahead!

Expand full comment

I'm going to venture a guess in regards to the current economic state of the US: STAGFLATION

Expand full comment